The Delhi Assembly Election 2025, set for February 5, 2025 (Wednesday), is shaping up to be an intense three-way battle among the ruling Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and the Congress. AAP is striving for a third consecutive term, the BJP is making a determined push to reclaim power after 27 years, and Congress is fighting to stay relevant in a state it governed for 15 years before Arvind Kejriwal's rise to power in 2013.
As the Delhi Assembly elections approach, the Rajasthan-based Phalodi Satta Bazar has provided intriguing insights into how the electoral battle is unfolding. Renowned for its controversial yet often accurate predictions, this betting hub is situated in Phalodi district, within the buffer zone of the Thar Desert, about 142 km from Jodhpur. Normally a quiet town known for its thriving salt and plaster of Paris industries, Phalodi has gained nationwide fame as a focal point for election betting, with a reputation for rarely missing the mark.
Following the announcement of election dates, speculation has intensified in Phalodi's betting circles. If the latest predictions from the Phalodi Satta Bazar are to be believed, Delhi’s political landscape might be on the brink of a significant shift.
Phalodi Satta Bazar's Forecast for the 2025 Delhi Elections
Congress, which dominated Delhi politics from 1952 to 2013, has been pushed to the margins in recent years, failing to secure even a single seat in the last two elections. According to predictions from the Phalodi Satta Bazar, the party's fortunes are unlikely to improve significantly in 2025, with forecasts suggesting it may win just three seats. This highlights Congress' ongoing struggle to regain relevance in the capital's political landscape. Thus far, the party has announced candidates for 48 constituencies, including prominent leaders like Sandeep Dikshit contesting from New Delhi and Alka Lamba from Kalkaji.
Bharatiya Janata Party: Last in power in Delhi in 1993, the BJP is determined to secure a majority and oust the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) from government. After a decade of relentless campaigning against AAP’s "honest government" narrative, the BJP is optimistic about changing the political tide. In the 2020 elections, the party won 8 seats—an improvement from its 3-seat tally in 2015. So far, it has announced its first list of 29 candidates, including prominent names like Parvesh Verma (New Delhi) and Ramesh Bidhuri (Kalkaji). According to predictions by the Phalodi Satta Bazar, the BJP is projected to win 25-35 seats in the 70-member Assembly—a significant improvement from the previous two elections but still shy of the majority mark of 36.
Aam Aadmi Party: After securing landslide victories in 2015 (67 seats) and 2020 (62 seats), the Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) faces a challenging battle to secure a third consecutive term in government. Despite facing allegations of corruption—which the party denies—and the imprisonment of several senior leaders on charges including alleged money laundering, AAP remains hopeful of maintaining its winning streak. The party continues to bank on its popular welfare initiatives, such as free electricity, improved healthcare, and advancements in education infrastructure.
According to predictions from the Phalodi Satta Bazar, AAP is likely to retain power, albeit with a slim majority. Projections suggest the party may win between 37 and 39 seats—significantly fewer than its 2020 tally of 62 seats but just enough to remain in control.
Delhi Election 2025 Schedule
- Notification Date: January 10, 2025
- Last Date for Nomination: January 17, 2025
- Scrutiny of Nominations: January 18, 2025
- Withdrawal of Candidature: January 20, 2025
- Polling Date: February 5, 2025
- Counting Date: February 8, 2025
Phalodi Satta Bazar's Speculative Range
- AAP: 37-39 seats
- BJP: 25-35 seats
- Congress: Around 3 seats
The Phalodi Satta Bazar forecasts suggest AAP is likely to secure victory but with a reduced seat tally, reflecting the growing challenges it faces. Meanwhile, the BJP appears to be narrowing the gap but still has significant ground to cover to reclaim power. Congress, once a dominant force in Delhi politics, continues its uphill struggle to regain relevance.
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